<p>I've been thinking a lot about what I should shoot for regarding my "a" race at the end of the year, which is Across The Years 72. If ATY were held today, 150 should be doable for me. Last year I didn't train at all, weighed 325 lbs, and completed 106 miles. Then, in May, I weighed 275, trained ok (not great), and completed 100 miles in the first 39 hours of a 48-hour race - but then basically stopped and ended up at 103. </p>
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<p>But what I'd really like to do is shoot for the 200-mile buckle. It sounds like it should be achievable, but in each of the last several years at ATY, breaking 200 is enough to crack the top ten, and the median has been about 150. In order for me to have a chance at 200 I'd have to both increase mileage (which is a topic for another thread) and drop a bunch of weight.</p>
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<p>So that's my motivation. Question is, what weight should I shoot for?</p>
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<p>I did some calculations, and for convenience, I looked at a BMI chart. For me (6'6"), the threshold between "overweight" and "normal weight" is 215. To get there on December 28, I'd have to have a caloric deficit of ~2300, which seems very high but I know it has been done. So I could take that as a "best-case-scenario" because I'm not about to shoot for more than that. This is around 5lbs per week. I can do that for a month, maybe 2 - but 3.5 months of that seems really crazy to me.</p>
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<p>The next nice round number is 225, which is probably much more reasonable goal. The caloric deficit for this would be just under 2000, which takes care of a psychological barrier - maintaining a daily deficit above 2000 seems really really high. But again, 3.5 months seems like a long time.</p>
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<p>If I walk into ATY above 250 I'd be very disappointed, but in order to get to that number my caloric deficit would be a mere 1150, which is easily doable for me because of increased volume alone. Hell, I burn that much running five miles.</p>
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<p>If I focus on the deficit first, 1500 seems like a nice round number. That would get me to 239 before the race, which seems like a number that I can't be disappointed in. But can I go 200 miles at 239? </p>
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<p>So that's my dilemma.. 250, 239, 225, or 215. 3.5 months. What do I shoot for?</p>