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<div class="quote-block">Originally Posted by <strong>hazelrah</strong> <a href="/forum/thread/71644/cliff-lee-signs#post_1969659"><img alt="View Post" class="inlineimg" src="/img/forum/go_quote.gif" style="border-bottom:0px solid;border-left:0px solid;border-top:0px solid;border-right:0px solid;"></a><br><br><p>I am betting the Yankees and Rangers are PO'd, but I personally believe they got saved from themselves. Lee is a great pitcher but 7 years ? I could see him falling apart in a year or two (he had back problems last year). Pitchers are huge risk. The Yankees could absorb it, not sure about the Rangers. It took the Yankees a while to get over the Pavano disaster. Pavano is one I really wanted the Tigers to get at that time, they went after him but lost out. Sometimes "losing" in these off season sweepstakes is really winning.</p>
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Very true. The Red Sox, for example, got outbid by the Yankees on Pavano and Jose Contreras. And I don't think the Sox regret that at all...</p>
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<p>Just about any time you sign a player (especially a pitcher) to a long-term deal, there's a greater than 50-50 chance that you'll be throwing money down the toilet at some point before the contract is up. But the problem is, if your franchise makes some sort of edict that you will never sign anyone to a long term deal, then you'll probably never get the good free agents, because there's someone else out there who will give them the outrageous deal.</p>
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<p>It's a fine line. Occasionally you have to give out a stupid contract in order to be competitive on the field. But you can't give out too many stupid contracts or you'll hamstring yourself for years into the future. If you're the Yankees, you can afford to bury a few of the screw-ups (Pavano, Kei Igawa, Contreras, Kevin Brown, Randy Johnson, Javier Vasquez twice, etc -- and those are just the pitchers!) without missing much of a beat. But if you're a poor team, one screw-up can kill you. For example, if Joe Mauer gets some catastrophic injury that ends his career, the Twins are probably screwed. </p>
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<p>So like I say, it's a fine line. And you just have to guess the best way to walk it...<br>
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