Wapack 50 predictions - KickRunners.com
 
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#1 of 25 Old 05-05-2008, 05:49 PM - Thead Starter
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1. Tim Roy
2. Donna Utakis
3. Bob Mathes
4. Paul Kearney
5. Jeff List
6. Steve Pero

TIA....all else will stop at 42 or possibly even 21. Some runners I do not know, so cannot make prediction for them. I know Donna....several years ago I ran 27:35 at MMT, Donna beat me by an hour. I have never finished in front of Bob, nor Paul, ,nor Jeff....Tim looks untouchable.

Any takers????

Esteban
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#2 of 25 Old 05-05-2008, 05:53 PM
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Can we get an entrants list from Bogie?

1. Tim Roy
2. Bob Mathes
3. Donna Utakis
4. Jeff List
5. Paul Kearney
6. Steve Pero

I agree that no one else finishes 50.
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#3 of 25 Old 05-05-2008, 06:56 PM
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Uh oh, well I don't know if I'll finish but I'll sure have to try like **** now with that kind of challenge! 2008 list is on the website.
Tom
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#4 of 25 Old 05-06-2008, 09:10 AM - Thead Starter
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Hi Tom....

You're one of those runners i mentioned that I don't really know. Jeff LaBossier is another, who was at DRB, but wasn't a finisher. It's very possible you could both finish. This is going to be one tough race and Bogie told me that he will look into your eyes at 42 and if you look like you can go on, he will let you regardless of the time within reason. So look lucid when you come down the hill at 42

John, go to http://www.wapack50.com/ and click on 2008 runners.
Steve
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#5 of 25 Old 05-06-2008, 09:58 AM
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OK...

Here is my new list of 50 mi finishers:

1. Tim Roy
2. Bob Mathes
3. Donna Utakis
4. Bret Sarnquist
5. Jeff List
6. Paul Kearney
7. Steve Pero
8. Jeff Waldron
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#6 of 25 Old 05-06-2008, 12:11 PM
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Bret's a newbie at 50 miles. I'll be prepping him before the race, but I plan on beating him handily. It may take some creative direction-giving, but hey, whatever it takes. Bob Mathes is going down, too, after beating me at DRB. I want a medal, dangit! Maybe the new gaiters will be just the ticket...

3. Paul Kearney
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#7 of 25 Old 05-06-2008, 01:58 PM
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I'm gonna have to go with Paul in second. I've run with him and Donna both, and I think he'll take her.
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#8 of 25 Old 05-06-2008, 02:19 PM
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I'll be very impressed if you beat Bob Mathes--he was 4th at Pittsfield Peaks last year, scoring 83% relative to Leigh Schmitt's winning time (score = winner's time divided by your time, x100). That is VERY good. (I've also witnessed him in the Whites at the MMD50k--he's a total beast on the climbs.) But I don't think you'll have any trouble beating me, and if Donna Utakis is only runnning this as a training run (I believe she frequently does that when leading up to a big summer race, judging by my being near her in several races), then you may place ahead of her. Sarnquist recently ran 4:30 for a 50k with 6000' feet of elevation gain (PCTR, Pirates Cove), so the speed and strength is easily there for a top three finish, but the question is: does he run well on rocks? So I think you have a very good chance of being top three, IF...
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#9 of 25 Old 05-06-2008, 02:26 PM - Thead Starter
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All right Paul, that's the attitude!

My thinking on Bret, from what you've told me, is he's a speedster, running sub 3 at Boston. He's going out hard and fading.

I stick with my predicts....
Steve
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#10 of 25 Old 05-06-2008, 05:06 PM
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Now we need to figure out what we're betting with? Beer? Beer anyone?
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#11 of 25 Old 05-07-2008, 08:48 AM - Thead Starter
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It will be flowing at my house on Saturday evening....with pizza (I'll be too tired to grill anything) Pizza, beer and excuses for the day....it doesn't get any better!
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#12 of 25 Old 05-07-2008, 02:24 PM - Thead Starter
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New entrant....Tom Worthington...sub 3 hours at Boston...20 years old.

Another runner for me to reel in
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#13 of 25 Old 05-07-2008, 03:11 PM
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Bret ran 2:55 as well.

My spies tell me he hasn't recovered yet...
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#14 of 25 Old 05-07-2008, 10:47 PM
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Watch out, I did Boston this April in 2:56:04!!!

Well, okay, that was the Run of the Charles canoe race! I did blow my competition away running the portages though.
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#15 of 25 Old 05-08-2008, 12:47 AM
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Ya know its funny....

While sittin firmly in my chair in the "reading room" I was flippin through the pages of the latest edition of UR Magazine where I came across the race calendars. And there was the entry for this race where Bogie put "RAIN."

Sunday's forecast: Mostly Sunny and 57.

But hey... it's New England... and we're about to get quite a bit wet the next few days. Even if it doesn't rain on race day, it'll certainly be a mud fest. ENJOY!
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#16 of 25 Old 05-08-2008, 08:57 AM - Thead Starter
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Well, guess what! Yes, it's New England....and the latest forecast is:

Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain in the morning... then partly sunny in the afternoon. Highs around 60. North winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to 25 mph. Chance of rain 50 percent.

By Saturday that will change to weather similar to last week...

My hope is overcast, in the 50's with a fine mist falling...the sun will kill me.

Steve
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#17 of 25 Old 05-10-2008, 07:44 PM
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It was a chilly start then a gorgeous sunny day on the Wapack, today. I'm sure Paul will fill the list out later, but I'm sure of a couple places:

1. Bret Sarnquist 9:57

8. Paul Kearney 11:34

Paul finished his first lap just before our 21 M division started. NH granite is amazing, first time I ever ran your trails up there. Also first time I've witnessed an ultra event, defies reason. I really could not get over the spectacle of people comfortably blowing through those 42 miles to run friggin' hill repeats for 50! Great monster of a course 9 people had finished the 50 when I left at 4:45, amazing day!
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#18 of 25 Old 05-10-2008, 07:46 PM
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Ohh and a record for the 21 Mile as well just under 3:00, I believe, 4:47 for me. Congrats everybody
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#19 of 25 Old 05-10-2008, 07:49 PM
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You mean.... There's ROCKS in New Hampshire?!

NO WAY! I thought they only existed in Virginia

Totally impressed with Brett's time. I know how good a shape this dude is in and he's training for Leadville. He lived out west of many years. No real surprise that he won at all... I just wasn't sure how he'd bounce back from dropping at Stonecat in November!

And Pauls time.... WOW! Hope he has something left to pace me next weekend!
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#20 of 25 Old 05-10-2008, 09:48 PM
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Hats off to the young guns. They went out fast, and DIDN'T die. Bret Sarnquist, Tom Worthington, and Paul Kearney (and bunch of others) really rocked the course. And there were a LOT of rocks.
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#21 of 25 Old 05-10-2008, 10:32 PM
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What a great course and awesome day! That was the toughest, most hilly, rocky and mental sapping 50 I've done yet - but hey, what could be a better way to spend a Saturday than enjoying the views from the Wapack ridgeline!
I was mentally prepared for a 12 to 14 hour day so was pretty happy to finish in about 10:30 (3rd). Bob Mathes was just a few minutes behind me in 4th. So some "old guns" were up there too! Bret Sarnquist and Brian Rusiecki (2nd) were like mountain goats though; I lost them after the 21 mile turnaround. Donna was the first women finisher. Off to bed; I'm totally toast!!!
Tom (Page, not Worthington).
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#22 of 25 Old 05-11-2008, 11:20 AM
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Apologies to Paul, who actually came in 6th! These are from Bogie's spreadsheet at wapacktrailrace.com

#DistBIBName

[top]


=============
15015Bret Sarnquist9:57
25027Tom Worthington 10:06
35020Brian Rusiecki10:20
45025Tom Page10:30
55024Bob Mathes 10:45
6501Paul Kearney 11:31
7509Donna Utakis 11:39
85016Jeff List 12:10
9503Ben Davis 12:30
105011Steve Pero 13:15
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#23 of 25 Old 05-11-2008, 12:02 PM - Thead Starter
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Here's what I wrote on our local email list this morning...

Hi gang....

We had an absolutely wonderful day on the trail yesterday. I heard and saw many Spring animals and birds...heard a Ruffed Grouse, a Barred Owl and had a small Black & White Warbler do a dance in front of me to lure me away from her nest, which is obviously somewhere "on" the Wapack trail coming back down off of Pack....stupid bird. Of all places to put her nest, it's guaranteed to be destroyed by someone's dog.

As I knew it would be, it was a long, hard day. That is a tough trail to run End 2 End, never mind a double End 2 End and an addition 8 mile out and back that included going back up Watatic twice. Ugh.
I had what I would consider a good day...stayed as much away from the race as I could and did my own thing. I moved well all day long (for me, I'm getting older and slower by the day) and had a 5:10 out split, then about a 5:50 return split and a little over 2 hours for the 8 mile final section. My plan was 5:30, 6 hours and 2 hours to come in at 13:30....I came in at 13:15, so I can't complain about my day.
Weather was pleasant all day long, even though when the sun came out it got a little warm, which caused me to get a little nauseous on the climbs, but I always have that problem in the heat and expected it. It actually wasn't as bad as I thought it was going to be.

Here is what Bogie has for final 50 mile times and positions. I know there is at least one error there with Tom Worthington. I did see him out on the trail, so my guess is his finish time is one hour later than what is shown...Bob Mathes, who I never saw so he finished before I came in for the 42, is shown with 10:45, which makes more sense to me because I came in a little after 11 hours (42). I'm sure Bogie will get this all straightened out this week.

I was surprised at how many stopped at 42. Tim Roy was absolutely flying out there and i was sure he was going to catch the whole field, but he stopped at 42 according to the splits.

A huge congrats to Bret Sarnquist, who ran 9:57 and Donna Utakis who ran 11:39! Bret also just ran a 2:52 at Boston, so he's a really good all around runner.

There was also a 21 mile end 2 end going on, but who cares about that race
It looks like David Herr won in 3:13 and Carol O Hear in 4:29! Incredible!

Wapack 50 results:
1 Bret Sarnquist 9:57
2 Brian Rusiecki 10:20
3 Tom Page 10:30
4 Bob Mathes 10:45
5 Tom Worthington 11:06 ( I added an hour to his time because Bogie shows his time as 10:06 and I saw him coming in after I left well after 11 hours)
6 Paul Kearney 11:31
7 Donna Utakis 11:39
8 Jeff List 12:10
9 Ben Davis 12:30
10 Steve Pero 13:15
11 Jeff LaBossiere 13:33
12 Frank Gousman 14:28

http://wapacktrailrace.com/

Have fun out there on this beautiful Mother's day...Deb and I are planning a Mount Monadnock hike!
Steve
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#24 of 25 Old 05-11-2008, 01:07 PM
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Thanks for all the updates and banter. It was fun to follow along the action.

Congrats!
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#25 of 25 Old 05-11-2008, 04:04 PM
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Good job everyone! Extra special congrats to Woodrunner for your 3rd place finish

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